# Probably Works

> How business works. And how it changes. Two founders. Strong opinions. Honest footnotes.

Oksana Kovalchuk and Konstantin Semenenko explore how businesses are built, how markets move, and how people make decisions when the rules keep changing. Real experiences, healthy disagreements, and a bit of sarcasm.

[Official website](https://www.probablyworks.co/) · [YouTube](https://www.youtube.com/@probably-works-podcast) · [RSS](https://www.probablyworks.co/rss.xml)

## How an episode works

- **The claim** — What are we actually assuming?
- **The test** — What breaks first?
- **The verdict** — Provisional. Obviously.

## Episodes

[All episodes](https://www.probablyworks.co/episodes/)

### EP.06 — I Thought AI Would Free Me. I Was Wrong.

2026-11-06 · 26 min · [Watch the full episode](https://www.probablyworks.co/episodes/does-ai-save-time-at-work/)

Does AI save time at work? Oksana and Konstantin compare repeatable tasks with code that still needs engineering, and ask why faster tools can leave them working longer.

- [00:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xXsj2pgYbG8) The promise of more time
- [00:59](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xXsj2pgYbG8&t=59s) What AI can actually replace
- [04:45](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xXsj2pgYbG8&t=285s) The engineering cost of generated code
- [10:49](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xXsj2pgYbG8&t=649s) The repeatability test
- [12:02](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xXsj2pgYbG8&t=722s) How to spot the bubble
- [20:28](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xXsj2pgYbG8&t=1228s) The cost of keeping up
- [23:19](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xXsj2pgYbG8&t=1399s) Why faster tools can make us busier

### EP.05 — CEO? More Like Chief Everything Officer

2026-10-30 · 47 min · [Watch the full episode](https://www.probablyworks.co/episodes/chief-everything-officer/)

Oksana tells the story of starting ANODA, splitting responsibilities with a business partner, growing the team and learning when a founder needs to set boundaries.

- [00:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=82n6yUYRkCo) The introvert behind ANODA
- [00:19](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=82n6yUYRkCo&t=19s) Why this conversation matters
- [00:40](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=82n6yUYRkCo&t=40s) Writing code at five
- [02:48](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=82n6yUYRkCo&t=168s) The first clients and companies
- [09:16](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=82n6yUYRkCo&t=556s) The cab-driver wake-up call
- [12:19](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=82n6yUYRkCo&t=739s) From CEO to employee
- [17:39](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=82n6yUYRkCo&t=1059s) How ANODA began
- [21:32](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=82n6yUYRkCo&t=1292s) Shipmate and the unexpected spotlight
- [26:04](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=82n6yUYRkCo&t=1564s) Splitting the founding roles
- [29:58](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=82n6yUYRkCo&t=1798s) Growing the team and surviving lockdown
- [32:53](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=82n6yUYRkCo&t=1973s) Partners, boundaries and the business prenup
- [41:08](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=82n6yUYRkCo&t=2468s) Clients, product design and measurable results
- [44:59](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=82n6yUYRkCo&t=2699s) AI still needs your judgment
- [46:30](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=82n6yUYRkCo&t=2790s) What comes next

### EP.04 — Are You Automating Things That Don't Matter?

2026-10-15 · 29 min · [Watch the full episode](https://www.probablyworks.co/episodes/the-automation-trap/)

Which workflows are worth automating? Oksana and Konstantin discuss process ownership, reports nobody reads and how to tell whether automation improves a result.

- [00:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ac2SRegvRsI) Paying for results, not time
- [00:18](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ac2SRegvRsI&t=18s) Who owns the process?
- [02:21](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ac2SRegvRsI&t=141s) Years of experience versus seniority
- [05:14](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ac2SRegvRsI&t=314s) Building without a clear product need
- [06:34](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ac2SRegvRsI&t=394s) Automation from the developer’s side
- [07:05](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ac2SRegvRsI&t=425s) The automation joke: goals and tradeoffs
- [09:11](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ac2SRegvRsI&t=551s) Management, responsibility and risk
- [13:14](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ac2SRegvRsI&t=794s) Could voice replace interfaces?
- [17:11](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ac2SRegvRsI&t=1031s) Changing team workflows with AI
- [20:10](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ac2SRegvRsI&t=1210s) Reports nobody reads
- [21:17](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ac2SRegvRsI&t=1277s) Initiative and useful feedback
- [24:26](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ac2SRegvRsI&t=1466s) Reliable delivery with little initiative
- [26:29](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ac2SRegvRsI&t=1589s) Management and communication
- [27:43](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ac2SRegvRsI&t=1663s) What does value mean?
- [28:09](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ac2SRegvRsI&t=1689s) Final thoughts

### EP.03 — Why AI Won't Replace Your Design Team (Yet)

2026-10-10 · 32 min · [Watch the full episode](https://www.probablyworks.co/episodes/will-ai-replace-design-teams/)

Oksana and Konstantin ask what a design team should deliver when AI can produce average work, from client judgment and useful feedback to taking responsibility for a result.

- [00:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vAGOMN7V2yM) Can you beat average AI output?
- [00:16](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vAGOMN7V2yM&t=16s) AI, teams and results
- [01:29](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vAGOMN7V2yM&t=89s) Rethinking the design team
- [06:39](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vAGOMN7V2yM&t=399s) Value beyond the task list
- [07:59](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vAGOMN7V2yM&t=479s) AI as industrialization
- [11:08](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vAGOMN7V2yM&t=668s) Average output and prompt limits
- [14:07](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vAGOMN7V2yM&t=847s) Clients, delivery and human skills
- [16:06](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vAGOMN7V2yM&t=966s) Vibe coding and the pull of automation
- [20:38](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vAGOMN7V2yM&t=1238s) Scrum needs responsibility
- [24:03](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vAGOMN7V2yM&t=1443s) Companies pay for results
- [27:48](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vAGOMN7V2yM&t=1668s) Interview skills versus real work
- [29:57](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vAGOMN7V2yM&t=1797s) Laziness and automation

### EP.02 — The Reality of Building AI Products: It’s Not Just Prompts

2026-10-08 · 33 min · [Watch the full episode](https://www.probablyworks.co/episodes/the-real-cost-of-building-ai-products/)

What does it cost to build an AI product beyond the prompts? The hosts discuss token budgets, running models locally and the work of turning a prototype into a product people can trust.

- [00:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IzUF4F0_4Bs) Meet Oksana & Kostya
- [00:31](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IzUF4F0_4Bs&t=31s) The real AI bill
- [02:45](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IzUF4F0_4Bs&t=165s) A week's AI tokens, gone in a day
- [03:18](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IzUF4F0_4Bs&t=198s) Are local AI models actually cheaper?
- [07:11](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IzUF4F0_4Bs&t=431s) The AI slop problem
- [10:26](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IzUF4F0_4Bs&t=626s) AI content: facts vs repetition
- [11:58](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IzUF4F0_4Bs&t=718s) LinkedIn: bots talking to bots
- [16:51](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IzUF4F0_4Bs&t=1011s) MVP vs a real product
- [22:27](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IzUF4F0_4Bs&t=1347s) Your prototype is going to production
- [24:05](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IzUF4F0_4Bs&t=1445s) Quality, budgets & earning trust
- [26:26](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IzUF4F0_4Bs&t=1586s) Building the product is only the beginning
- [32:26](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IzUF4F0_4Bs&t=1946s) Final thoughts & subscribe

### EP.01 — AI vs. Humans: Who Should Control the Code?

2026-10-01 · 33 min · [Watch the full episode](https://www.probablyworks.co/episodes/who-should-control-ai-generated-code/)

When a coding agent changes login while fixing padding, who catches it? Oksana and Konstantin discuss scope, human oversight and accountability for generated code.

- [00:00](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IK0JhYQyeNk) Meet Oksana & Kostya
- [00:31](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IK0JhYQyeNk&t=31s) Good code vs a product that works
- [05:12](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IK0JhYQyeNk&t=312s) AI mistakes: data leaks & broken systems
- [06:25](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IK0JhYQyeNk&t=385s) Human oversight still matters
- [09:51](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IK0JhYQyeNk&t=591s) Why local AI feels disappointing
- [12:32](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IK0JhYQyeNk&t=752s) Context, instructions & wrong expectations
- [17:02](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IK0JhYQyeNk&t=1022s) Asked for padding—AI hacked the login
- [17:42](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IK0JhYQyeNk&t=1062s) Who pays for AI mistakes?
- [23:15](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IK0JhYQyeNk&t=1395s) "Legacy" code written five minutes ago
- [26:43](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IK0JhYQyeNk&t=1603s) Are engineers becoming managers?
- [31:16](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IK0JhYQyeNk&t=1876s) She thought GitHub was angry
- [32:35](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IK0JhYQyeNk&t=1955s) Final thoughts & subscribe

## Shorts

[All Shorts](https://www.probablyworks.co/shorts/)

- [I blocked the AI hype. My work didn’t change.\*](https://www.probablyworks.co/shorts/#short-oQbUS7m4wJc) — 2026-11-07
- [Why your 'CEO' title is a lie](https://www.probablyworks.co/shorts/#short-TBhDkAOsIvI) — 2026-11-07
- [An AI manager reduced our team’s daily chaos\*](https://www.probablyworks.co/shorts/#short-k77In4TOssI) — 2026-11-07
- [When your boss needs a signed note for lunch](https://www.probablyworks.co/shorts/#short-O-k7yi7nCDg) — 2026-11-06
- [AI was meant to save time. I’ve never worked more\*](https://www.probablyworks.co/shorts/#short-Li69AGEaOG4) — 2026-11-06
- [Is Every CEO Secretly an Introvert? 🤫](https://www.probablyworks.co/shorts/#short-jFLOWCbmSMI) — 2026-11-05
- [How to get a logo for the price of beer 🍻](https://www.probablyworks.co/shorts/#short-8t3jA7LCSzg) — 2026-11-04
- [You Can't Hire Half an HR Person](https://www.probablyworks.co/shorts/#short-wbUC4h68nhM) — 2026-11-03
- [Did I really meet Elon Musk? 😳](https://www.probablyworks.co/shorts/#short-qim-MoJlpZI) — 2026-11-02
- [Why your co-founder relationship needs a prenup](https://www.probablyworks.co/shorts/#short-UXxWy3Xg-2o) — 2026-11-01
- [She Learned to Code at Five — to Play Games](https://www.probablyworks.co/shorts/#short-K0oiT5F4p-k) — 2026-10-30
- [Why I was talking to myself in the back of a cab](https://www.probablyworks.co/shorts/#short-PffBAWWpbiQ) — 2026-10-30
- [AI Is a Pen. You Still Have to Think.](https://www.probablyworks.co/shorts/#short-STgMK0tpvGU) — 2026-10-30
- [Why zero initiative employees are actually elite](https://www.probablyworks.co/shorts/#short-fvxvNocewZo) — 2026-10-19
- [If your team fails, you pay.](https://www.probablyworks.co/shorts/#short-Zjn4sXUVfxg) — 2026-10-18
- [Why your Scrum team needs more ownership](https://www.probablyworks.co/shorts/#short-RzHW2Kz87k0) — 2026-10-17
- [Why simple code wins every time](https://www.probablyworks.co/shorts/#short-OpWotFZ2k0I) — 2026-10-15
- [Why 10 years of experience doesn't mean you're a Senior](https://www.probablyworks.co/shorts/#short-z1ellpkd-ms) — 2026-10-15
- [Spent 20 hours to save 30 minutes](https://www.probablyworks.co/shorts/#short-OpzpcZ8oCeU) — 2026-10-14
- [Why you won't touch a screen soon](https://www.probablyworks.co/shorts/#short-PsYE8rprNR0) — 2026-10-13
- [The secret to eliminating useless paperwork](https://www.probablyworks.co/shorts/#short-gf9TPj1NwWI) — 2026-10-12
- [Why I stopped trying so hard](https://www.probablyworks.co/shorts/#short-vRSK5E-4CT4) — 2026-10-11
- [Why your AI isn't doing what you want](https://www.probablyworks.co/shorts/#short-6SLqdYJYRIY) — 2026-10-10
- [Why she was terrified of her senior dev](https://www.probablyworks.co/shorts/#short-Uc3dPZNxx3w) — 2026-10-10
- [Why developers hate legacy code](https://www.probablyworks.co/shorts/#short-24F9-Jm7Cqg) — 2026-10-09
- [The only way to survive the AI takeover](https://www.probablyworks.co/shorts/#short-zCGp-hHyfN0) — 2026-10-09
- [Why I’m cancelling my AI subscription](https://www.probablyworks.co/shorts/#short-p-M4AcZK1QQ) — 2026-10-08
- [Kindness is not a job title.](https://www.probablyworks.co/shorts/#short-eCrzej5pcdk) — 2026-10-08
- [The shocking truth: AI can do 2 weeks of work in 2 hours](https://www.probablyworks.co/shorts/#short-a_V6bX3pYoo) — 2026-10-08
- [Why is my AI hacking the login system??](https://www.probablyworks.co/shorts/#short-QdpqJffQgnU) — 2026-10-07
- [Who pays when your AI fails?](https://www.probablyworks.co/shorts/#short-TBO0hlVXqhQ) — 2026-10-06
- [Building is the easy part](https://www.probablyworks.co/shorts/#short-j_rLEjuNS_8) — 2026-10-05
- [When a prototype makes too much money to fix](https://www.probablyworks.co/shorts/#short-1RNr9OzHumA) — 2026-10-04
- [Is your favorite company fake?](https://www.probablyworks.co/shorts/#short-7aOcFmNvDEA) — 2026-10-03
- [LinkedIn has a massive bot problem ⚠️](https://www.probablyworks.co/shorts/#short-8EEBcLIMxLI) — 2026-10-02
- [The Hidden Cost Of AI No One Mentions](https://www.probablyworks.co/shorts/#short-B1MXVKnU-XI) — 2026-10-01

## Articles

- [How to decide what to automate: a break-even checklist](https://www.probablyworks.co/articles/how-to-decide-what-to-automate/): Estimate the real payback of a workflow automation, account for exceptions and maintenance, and pick a small pilot before building the whole thing.
- [A code review checklist for AI-generated changes](https://www.probablyworks.co/articles/ai-generated-code-review-checklist/): Review an AI-generated patch for changes outside its scope, verify tests against the original bug, and decide who owns the merge.

## Hosts

[Meet the hosts](https://www.probablyworks.co/hosts/)

### Oksana Kovalchuk

Founder & CEO, ANODA. Entrepreneur, product design expert and creative problem-solver. Wrote her first code at five, then built a product design company. Turns complex ideas into digital experiences people actually love.

[LinkedIn](https://www.linkedin.com/in/oksanakovalchuk/) · [ANODA](https://www.anoda.mobi/)

### Konstantin Semenenko

Co-founder & CEO, Managed Code. Entrepreneur, software engineering expert and technical problem-solver. Turns ambitious ideas into software and AI products people actually use. Passionate about AI and software architecture.

[LinkedIn](https://www.linkedin.com/in/ksemenenk0/) · [Managed Code](https://managed-code.com/) · [Prostir](https://prostir.build/)

## Topics

- AI's impact on business
- Marketing & sales
- Finding the right customers
- Running a company
- Teams, ownership & seniority
- Tech bubbles & business history

## Companies and products mentioned on the site

- [ANODA](https://www.anoda.mobi/): UX research and audits, product strategy, UI/UX design, redesigns, and design systems. Founded by Probably Works co-host Oksana Kovalchuk.
- [Managed Code](https://managed-code.com/): Custom software engineering, production AI agents, workflow automation, and integrations. Co-founded by Probably Works co-host Konstantin Semenenko.
- [Prostir](https://prostir.build/): A self-serve platform to build and publish AI agents with your own knowledge, tools, and access rules. Built by Managed Code.

## Frequently asked questions

### What is Probably Works about?

Probably Works is an English-language podcast about building and running businesses, leading teams, and how AI changes design and software. The hosts test a claim against their own experience and end with a provisional verdict.

### Who hosts Probably Works?

Oksana Kovalchuk is the founder and CEO of ANODA, a digital product design agency. Konstantin “Kostya” Semenenko is the co-founder and CEO of Managed Code, the engineering company behind Prostir.

### Where can I watch or follow Probably Works?

Full episodes, timestamped chapters, and Shorts are available on YouTube. The RSS feed lists full episodes with dates, summaries, and chapter links.

### What is the difference between ANODA, Managed Code, and Prostir?

ANODA helps with product design and UX. Managed Code builds custom software and AI systems. Prostir is a platform for building and publishing your own AI agents.